Minnesota Duluth
W-L: (21-14) PR = 97.6824Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 919 A Mercyhurst TL (21-11, 96.1) 4- 3 920 A Mercyhurst TL (21-11, 96.1) 5- 3 925 A Syracuse TL (16-17, 94.7) 4- 0 926 A Syracuse TL (16-17, 94.7) 4- 0 1011 A Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 3- 4 1012 A Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 0- 4 1017 H Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 5- 0 1018 H Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 3- 1 1024 H Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 0- 4 1025 H Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 2- 3 1031 A St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 5- 3 1101 A St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 3- 2 1114 A St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 3- 1 1115 A St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 4- 2 1121 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 3 1122 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 4 1205 A Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 4- 1 1206 A Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 4- 0 102 A Harvard CAC (16-15, 95.7) 2- 3 103 H Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 1- 3 109 H Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 1 110 H Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 116 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 2- 2 117 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 2- 5 123 A Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 124 A Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 3- 0 130 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 2- 6 131 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 3 206 H Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 3- 2 207 H Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 5- 0 213 H St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 3- 0 214 H St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 3- 0 220 A Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 3- 2 221 A Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 2- 1 227 H Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 2- 0 228 H Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 3- 2 301 H Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 1- 2 312 N Yale CAC (26-10, 97.0) 0- 1
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
919 A Mercyhurst 4- 3 1 1 -0.22
920 A Mercyhurst 5- 3 2 1 0.78
925 A Syracuse 4- 0 4 3 1.44
926 A Syracuse 4- 0 4 3 1.44
1011 A Wisconsin 3- 4 -1 -3 1.52
1012 A Wisconsin 0- 4 -4 -3 -1.48
1017 H Minnesota State 5- 0 5 2 + 3.48
1018 H Minnesota State 3- 1 2 2 0.48
1024 H Minnesota 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.88
1025 H Minnesota 2- 3 -1 0 -0.88
1031 A St. Cloud State 5- 3 2 1 1.22
1101 A St. Cloud State 3- 2 1 1 0.22
1114 A St. Thomas 3- 1 2 1 0.87
1115 A St. Thomas 4- 2 2 1 0.87
1121 H Ohio State 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.18
1122 H Ohio State 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.18
1205 A Bemidji State 4- 1 3 2 0.74
1206 A Bemidji State 4- 0 4 2 1.74
102 A Harvard 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.61
103 H Quinnipiac 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.60
109 H Wisconsin 1- 1 0 -2 1.73
110 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.27
116 H St. Cloud State 2- 2 0 2 -1.56
117 H St. Cloud State 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.56
124 A Minnesota State 3- 0 3 1 + 2.27
130 A Ohio State 2- 6 -4 -3 -1.39
131 A Ohio State 1- 3 -2 -3 0.61
206 H Bemidji State 3- 2 1 3 - -2.04
207 H Bemidji State 5- 0 5 3 1.96
213 H St. Thomas 3- 0 3 2 1.09
214 H St. Thomas 3- 0 3 2 1.09
220 A Minnesota 3- 2 1 -1 1.91
221 A Minnesota 2- 1 1 -1 1.91
227 H Minnesota State 2- 0 2 2 0.48
228 H Minnesota State 3- 2 1 2 -0.52
301 H Minnesota State 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.52
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 117 H St. Cloud State 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.56 1024 H Minnesota 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.88 102 A Harvard 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.61 103 H Quinnipiac 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.60 110 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.27 206 H Bemidji State 3- 2 1 3 - -2.04 301 H Minnesota State 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1017 H Minnesota State 5- 0 5 2 + 3.48 124 A Minnesota State 3- 0 3 1 + 2.27 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 4- 3 -3.83 4.17 0.39 0.99 9.04
3 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 5- 3 -3.83 4.17 0.39 0.99 9.04
3 A Syracuse (16-17, 94.7) 4- 0 -5.17 2.84 0.39 0.99 6.39
3 A Syracuse (16-17, 94.7) 4- 0 -5.17 2.84 0.39 0.99 6.39
3 A Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 3- 4 -0.09 7.91 0.39 0.99 -0.15
3 A Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 0- 4 -0.09 7.91 0.39 0.99 -0.15
3 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 5- 0 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 0.99 8.45
3 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 3- 1 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 0.99 8.45
3 H Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 0- 4 -1.70 6.30 -0.39 0.99 -1.04
3 H Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 2- 3 -1.70 6.30 -0.39 0.99 -1.04
3 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 5- 3 -3.39 4.62 0.39 0.99 9.92
3 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 3- 2 -3.39 4.62 0.39 0.99 9.92
3 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 3- 1 -3.74 4.26 0.39 0.99 9.22
3 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 4- 2 -3.74 4.26 0.39 0.99 9.22
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 3 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 0.99 -0.19
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 4 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 0.99 -0.19
3 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 4- 1 -4.87 3.14 0.39 0.99 6.99
3 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 4- 0 -4.87 3.14 0.39 0.99 6.99
3 A Harvard (16-15, 95.7) 2- 3 -4.22 3.78 0.39 0.99 -1.90
3 H Quinnipiac (29- 9, 97.5) 1- 3 -2.42 5.58 -0.39 0.99 -1.39
3 H Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 -0.09 7.91 -0.39 0.99 -0.24
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 2- 2 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 0.99 0.00
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 2- 5 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 0.99 -1.87
3 A Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 3- 0 -3.34 4.66 0.39 0.99 10.01
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 2- 6 -0.00 8.00 0.39 0.99 -0.19
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 3 -0.00 8.00 0.39 0.99 -0.19
3 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 3- 2 -4.87 3.14 -0.39 0.99 5.43
3 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 5- 0 -4.87 3.14 -0.39 0.99 5.43
3 H St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 3- 0 -3.74 4.26 -0.39 0.99 7.66
3 H St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 3- 0 -3.74 4.26 -0.39 0.99 7.66
3 A Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 3- 2 -1.70 6.30 0.39 0.99 13.25
3 A Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 2- 1 -1.70 6.30 0.39 0.99 13.25
3 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 2- 0 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 0.99 8.45
3 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 0.99 8.45
3 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 1- 2 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 0.99 -1.85
3 N Yale (26-10, 97.0) 0- 1 -2.92 5.08 -0.00 0.99 -1.45
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167.76
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winning pts = 179.6000 losing points = -11.8423
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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